What should be the goal of cholesterol-lowering treatment? A quantitative evaluation dispelling guideline myths.

Abstract

Guidelines for cholesterol-lowering treatment generally include extensive review of epidemiological and clinical trial evidence. However, the next logical step, the translation of evidence into clinical advice, occurs not entirely by reasoning, but by a form of consensus in which the prejudices and established beliefs of the societies with interests in cardiovascular disease convened to interpret the evidence are prominent. Methods, which are the subject of this review, have, however, been developed by which clinical trial evidence can be translated objectively into best practice. Guidelines differ in their recommended goals for cholesterol-lowering treatment in the prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Proposed goals are LDL-cholesterol 2.6 mmol/l (100 mg/dl) or less in lower risk, LDL-cholesterol 1.8 mmol/l (70 mg/dl) or less in higher risk, non-HDL-cholesterol decrease of at least 40% or LDL-cholesterol 1.8 mmol/l (70 mg/dl) or less or decreased by at least 50% whichever is lower. Evidence from clinical trials of statins, ezetimibe and proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9-inhibitors can be expressed in simple mathematical terms to compare the efficacy on ASCVD incidence of clinical guidance for the use of cholesterol-lowering medication. The target LDL-cholesterol of 2.6 mmol/l (100 mg/dl) is ineffective and lacks credibility. Cholesterol-lowering medication is most effective in high-risk people with raised LDL-cholesterol. The best overall therapeutic target is LDL-cholesterol 1.8 mmol/l (70 mg/dl) or less or decreased by at least 50% whichever is lower. The use of non-HDL-cholesterol as a therapeutic goal is less efficacious. Aiming for LDL-cholesterol 1.4 mmol/l (55 mg/dl) or less as opposed to 1.8 mmol/l produces only a small additional benefit. Evidence for apolipoprotein B targets in hypertriglyceridaemia and in very high ASCVD risk should be more prominent in future guidelines. The LDL-cholesterol goal of 2.6 mmol/l or less should be abandoned. Percentage decreases in LDL-cholesterol or non-HDL-cholesterol concentration are better in people with initial concentrations of less than 3.6 mmol/l. The LDL-cholesterol target of 1.8 mmol/l is most effective when initial LDL-cholesterol is more than 3.6 mmol/l in both primary and secondary prevention.