Abstract

Abstract Background The potential role of social protection systems and welfare states for population health and mortality has attracted increased interest in recent decades but mostly focused on overall characteristics or clusters of countries. Moreover, often neglecting older people even though the great majority of all deaths in high-income countries occur at later ages. We focus on the key social protection scheme for old adults: the generosity of the level of pensions. We compare pensions based on previous work history to basic minimum pensions. Our study is novel both by linking pension system to remaining life expectancy at age 65(LE65+), but also by studying the association to variation in LE65+, since that gives a measure of inequality. We do so across countries and over time. Methods and Materials Our sources of data are from the Human Mortality Database and the Social Policy Indicator Database. Data for OECD countries are matched over a long period of time and analysed by pooled time-series regression analyses with fixed effects. Results Although the results indicate that the generosity of pensions based on both pervious work history and basic minimum income our results primarily show the importance of basic minimum income. Here the effect sizes are larger and especially for women than for men (0.149*** vs. 0,.0715***). Concerning the variation in LE (65+) we find that more generous basic pensions are associated with reduced variation for women -4.64e-05**. Conclusions We provide new insights in how pension policies potentially influence mortality among older persons especially by extending our analyses also to inequality in mortality. Our results points to the importance of basic pensions. The gendered division of labour is a plausible explanation for the findings and to have an adequate pension for all should be of primary concern for public health. Key messages • Adequate basic pension for all of importance for remaining life expectancy among older people. • Adequate basic pension for all of importance for reducing mortality inequality among women.

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