What Makes A "Successful" Kasai Portoenterostomy "Unsuccessful"?

Abstract

Clearance of jaundice (CoJ) is the first key objective of Kasai portoenterostomy (KPE) for biliary atresia (BA) and its achievement is by far the best index of long-term prognosis. We sought to identify the reasons for failure [subsequent liver transplant (LT)] in this cohort. Review of single-center prospective BA database. Successful KPE was defined by achieving a postoperative bilirubin of ≤20 µmol/L. Pre-KPE and post-KPE variables were identified together with a multivariate logistic regression model to identify those observable at 3 months post-KPE. Data are quoted as median (range). A P value of ≤0.05 was significant. One hundred thirty-five infants underwent KPE between January 2012 and December 2018, of which 90 (67%) achieved CoJ. From these 20 (22%) (Cohort A) underwent LT with the remainder continuing with native liver (Cohort B) (median follow-up of 4.15 years). There was no difference in age at KPE ( P = 0.41), APRi (aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio) ( P = 0.07), associated anomalies ( P = 0.7), and cytomegalovirus status ( P = 0.7) between the 2 groups. Postoperatively, both cholangitis [any episode, 18/20 (90%) vs 15/70 (21%); P < 0.0001] and portal hypertension (PHT) [gastrointestinal (GI) bleed, 10/20 (50%) vs 2/70 (2.8%); P < 0.0001] were significantly more common in cohort A. Univariate analysis showed that the most significant predictive values at 3 months for LT by 2 years were high APRi, bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and ultrasound (US)-detected ascites with multivariate logistic modeling confirming these variables with predictive values of r2 = 0.79, AUROC = 0.98. Failure is not preordained at KPE but due to recurrent cholangitis and/or symptoms of PHT.