Abstract
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assumes that the inclining atmospheric CO2 concentration over recent years was almost exclusively determined by anthropogenic emissions, and this increase is made responsible for the rising temperature over the Industrial Era. Due to the far reaching consequences of this assertion, in this contribution we critically scrutinize different carbon cycle models and compare them with observations. We further contrast them with an alternative concept, which also includes temperature dependent natural emission and absorption with an uptake rate scaling proportional with the CO2 concentration. We show that this approach is in agreement with all observations, and under this premise not really human activities are responsible for the observed CO2 increase and the expected temperature rise in the atmosphere, but just opposite the temperature itself dominantly controls the CO2 increase. Therefore, not CO2 but primarily native impacts are responsible for any observed climate changes.
Highlights
Following the interpretation of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) the inclining atmospheric CO2 concentration over recent years is assumed to result almost exclusively from anthropogenic emissions, and as a consequence of the greenhouse effect this increase is made responsible for the rising temperature over the Industrial Era
We show that the main consequence of isolating the anthropogenic carbon cycle from the natural cycle is to introduce a new time scale, the adjustment time, which differs significantly from the residence time, the latter characterizing the natural uptake of CO2 from the atmosphere by extraneous reservoirs
The increase of CO2 over recent years can well be explained by a single balance equation, the Conservation Law (23), which considers the total atmospheric CO2 cycle, consisting of temperature and time dependent natural emissions, the human activities and a temperature dependent uptake process, which scales proportional with the actual concentration
Summary
Following the interpretation of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) the inclining atmospheric CO2 concentration over recent years is assumed to result almost exclusively from anthropogenic emissions, and as a consequence of the greenhouse effect this increase is made responsible for the rising temperature over the Industrial Era (see, 5th Assessment Report, AR5 [1]). These predictions are based on more or less refined theoretical models of the carbon cycle and their comparison with observations.
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