What Happened to Asian Exports During the Crisis

Abstract

After the large exchange rate depreciations following the 1997 East Asian crisis, export volumes from East Asian countries responded with a notable lag. Two main explanations for this lag have been proposed: that contraction in domestic credit affected supply of exports and that “competitive depreciation” by other countries neutralized the effects on demand for exports. This paper considers the plausibility of these two mechanisms using a new monthly database of exports of selected industries. The results indicate that “competitive depreciation” played an important role in the propagation of the East Asian crisis through the trade channel, even at a monthly frequency.