Abstract
“High risk high return” is a general rule in the overall industry; however, high-risk projects in the construction industry frequently fail to yield a high return. In order to achieve a sustainable business in the international construction market, contractors require an average to high return yield under high-risk conditions. This study aims to reveal what risk factors and risk management performance enables high-risk projects to yield high returns. The study investigated 124 international construction projects by Korean contractors and classified them into four groups: high-risk high-return (HH), high-risk low-return (HL), low-risk high-return (LH), and low-risk low-return (LL). The study found that risk assessment accuracy was the most important trigger in discriminating between high return projects (HH, LH) and low return projects (HL, LL), whereas risk mitigation performance showed little difference between high return and low return projects. In addition, the contingency amount did not significantly affect project return in HL, LH, and LL projects, but HH projects showed a positive relation between contingency and predicted risk amount. This article contributes to recognizing the differences between high return and low return projects and provides insights for practitioners into the relation between risk management performance and high returns in different risk conditions.
Highlights
The principle of “high risk high return” is popularly used in many fields, including financial investment [1,2]
The Mann Whitney U test result indicates that the Risk assessment accuracy (RAA) in overall risk was significantly different between the HH projects and high-risk low-return (HL) projects (p-value = 0.001)
HH projects performed −0.040 RAA, whereas HL projects resulted in 0.293 RAA
Summary
The principle of “high risk high return” is popularly used in many fields, including financial investment [1,2]. High-risk projects are expected to gain high profitability [3,4]; and second, high risk yields a low return because the bid competition cannot allow the bidder to allocate sufficient profit according to the risk amount [5,6]. These two arguments would be adjusted depending on the owner and contractor perspectives. Construction contractors must be able to select potentially high-return projects among the high-risk projects, and to mitigate the high risk to achieve sustainable revenue and profitability
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