Abstract

This study measures the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak on the stock market of Bangladesh amid bourse lockdowns. The top 30 blue-chip companies listed in the DS30 Index of the Dhaka Stock Exchange are used as the sample for this study. Panel data regression analysis has been used after performing several diagnostics tests to assess the impact for January to December during the year 2020. The regression model used in the study considers three key aspects, namely COVID-19, firm-specific factors, and macroeconomic variables amid the bourse lockdown. This study finds that daily trend in affected cases, death cases and investors' attention significantly affect the stock market but does not show any negative relation to conclude. The Government imposed lockdown shows a negative relation with the stock market significantly. Firm-specific variables like daily market capitalization and book to market ratio show a significant negative relationship with the stock market. On the other hand, macroeconomic factors have a significantly positive impact on the stock market amid bourse lockdowns. This study assesses the performance of the Bangladesh stock market by use of DS30 Index listed firms during the COVID-19 pandemic in response to the Government imposed bourse lockdown. This study provides unique insights into how the Bangladesh stock market reacted during the pandemic, along with a rare bourse lockdown decision.

Highlights

  • Bangladesh is considered one of the rising economic performers in South Asia

  • Several representative variables are tested against the impact of COVID-19 on the stock market in recent works of literature

  • This study filtered most of these variables as they failed to pass the fundamental diagnostic tests to be included in the regression model

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Summary

Introduction

Macroeconomic indicators and other global indicators suggest that the presence of economic development have encouraged investors for trading in the stock market. The stock market is under constant regulation and proper governance while considering the uninterrupted focus of the authority in the protection of investors' interests. Two stock exchanges facilitate stock trading for the investors in the country. Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) is the largest exchange, along with the Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE) in Bangladesh (BSEC., 2020). All these stock exchanges have their price indices to reflect the activities in the market better. Bangladesh Stock Exchange Commission (BSEC) took measures to set out the floor price of the share; earlier transactions began to take place. As of June 1, 2021, the SARS-CoV-2 virus that is responsible for the COVID-19 disease has affected over 170.43 million people, with a death toll of 3.55 million around the globe (World Health Organization, 2021)

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