Abstract

The 2019–20 Australian fire season was heralded as emblematic of the catastrophic harm wrought by climate change. Similarly extreme wildfire seasons have occurred across the globe in recent years. Here, we apply a pyrogeographic lens to the recent Australian fires to examine the range of causes, impacts and responses. We find that the extensive area burnt was due to extreme climatic circumstances. However, antecedent hazard reduction burns (prescribed burns with the aim of reducing fuel loads) were effective in reducing fire severity and house loss, but their effectiveness declined under extreme weather conditions. Impacts were disproportionately borne by socially disadvantaged regional communities. Urban populations were also impacted through prolonged smoke exposure. The fires produced large carbon emissions, burnt fire-sensitive ecosystems and exposed large areas to the risk of biodiversity decline by being too frequently burnt in the future. We argue that the rate of change in fire risk delivered by climate change is outstripping the capacity of our ecological and social systems to adapt. A multi-lateral approach is required to mitigate future fire risk, with an emphasis on reducing the vulnerability of people through a reinvigoration of community-level capacity for targeted actions to complement mainstream fire management capacity.

Highlights

  • Climate-change-driven intensification of wildfire activity is emerging as a global threat [1]

  • What Do the Australian Black Summer Fires Signify for the Global

  • There are many similar themes recurring across the globe, namely, that climate change is increasing the potential for extreme wildfire seasons [1]

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Summary

Introduction

Climate-change-driven intensification of wildfire activity is emerging as a global threat [1]. We apply a pyrogeographic lens to the 2019–20 Black Summer fires; that is, we synthesise the human, biophysical and ecological dimensions [14] of the fires by presenting original analyses and reviewing key papers published on the fires This integrated approach to analysing the causes and impacts of the fires provides a foundation for examining the responses to the fires. Given the nature of these fires as a harbinger of the future—not just in Australia, but globally—science, policy and management are at a critical juncture: have we learned enough to adapt to the climate-change-driven intensification of wildfire activity, or will the cycle intensify and losses accelerate, leading to social, ecological and economic dysfunction?

Extent of the Black Summer Fires
Causes of the Black
Overview
Who and What Was Affected by the Black Summer Fires?
What Key Changes to Policy and Capacity Have Ensued from
Is Australia Better Equipped for a Future of Extreme Fire Seasons?
Conclusions
Sources of Fire Ignition for the NSW Fires
Analyses of the Effects of Prior Burns on Fire Severity
Findings
Analyses on Determinants of House Loss
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