Abstract
This study investigates the determinants of the likelihood of being involved in mergers and acquisitions (M&As) in banking. Given that the M&A market has been especially active in banking, the main aim here is to test whether it is possible to predict ex ante potential acquirers and targets on the basis of a set of bank specific and regulatory/institutional characteristics. We suggest that significant implications follow. Professional investors in the secondary markets would have at their disposal a method of identifying firms more likely to be targets and acquirers, and hence to select the stocks to be included in their portfolios. Managers in the banking industry would have a way to identify the probability of running into an M&A operation, and therefore to put in place mechanisms to favour or to block it.
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