Abstract

Background: West Nile virus (WNV) was first sequenced in Brazil in 2019, when it was isolated from a horse in the Espírito Santo state. Despite multiple studies reporting serological evidence suggestive of past circulation since 2004, WNV remains a low priority for surveillance and public health, such that much is still unknown about its genomic diversity, evolution, and transmission in the country. Methods: A combination of diagnostic assays, nanopore sequencing, phylogenetic inference, and epidemiological modeling are here used to provide a holistic overview of what is known about WNV in Brazil. Results: We report new genetic evidence of WNV circulation in southern (Minas Gerais, São Paulo) and northeastern (Piauí) states isolated from equine red blood cells. A novel, climate-informed theoretical perspective of the potential transmission of WNV across the country highlights the state of Piauí as particularly relevant for WNV epidemiology in Brazil, although it does not reject possible circulation in other states. Conclusion: Our output demonstrates the scarceness of existing data, and that although there is sufficient evidence for the circulation and persistence of the virus, much is still unknown on its local evolution, epidemiology, and activity. We advocate for a shift to active surveillance, to ensure adequate preparedness for future epidemics with spill-over potential to humans.

Highlights

  • West Nile virus (WNV), a member of the Flaviviridae family, was first identified in the West Nile district of Uganda in 1937, but nowadays, it is commonly found in Africa, Europe, North America, the Middle East, and Asia [1,2,3]

  • Using data collected from the Brazilian “Sistema de Informação de Agravos de Notificação” (SINAN) reported with identifier A923 (“Febre do Nilo”), we explored the current spatio-temporal distribution of suspected cases of West Nile fever

  • Our analyses indicate that additional data are required to better identify routes of WNV importation into and within Brazil and to more generally understand the local transmission dynamics of the virus

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Summary

Introduction

West Nile virus (WNV), a member of the Flaviviridae family, was first identified in the West Nile district of Uganda in 1937, but nowadays, it is commonly found in Africa, Europe, North America, the Middle East, and Asia [1,2,3]. WNV transmission is maintained in a mosquito–bird cycle, for which the genus Culex, in particular Cx. pipiens and quinquefasciatus, are considered the principal vectors [4]. WNV can infect humans, equines, and other mammals, but these are considered “dead-end” hosts, given their weak potential to function as amplifying hosts to spread infection onwards [5,6]. Around 80% of WNV infections in humans are asymptomatic, while the rest may develop mild or severe disease. Headache, tiredness, and vomiting [7,8], while severe disease (neuroinvasive) is characterized by high fever, coma, convulsions, and paralysis [7,8]. Equine infections can occasionally cause neurological disease and death [7,8], such that equines typically serve as sentinel species for WNV outbreaks with potential for spill-over into human populations

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