Weather and Climate Manipulation as an Optimal Control for Adaptive Dynamical Systems

Sergei A Soldatenko

doi:10.1155/2017/4615072

Abstract

The weather and climate manipulation is examined as an optimal control problem for the earth climate system, which is considered as a complex adaptive dynamical system. Weather and climate manipulations are actually amorphous operations. Since their objectives are usually formulated vaguely, the expected results are fairly unpredictable and uncertain. However, weather and climate modification is a purposeful process and, therefore, we can formulate operations to manipulate weather and climate as the optimization problem within the framework of the optimal control theory. The complexity of the earth’s climate system is discussed and illustrated using the simplified low-order coupled chaotic dynamical system. The necessary conditions of optimality are derived for the large-scale atmospheric dynamics. This confirms that even a relatively simplified control problem for the atmospheric dynamics requires significant efforts to obtain the solution.

Highlights

Weather and climate manipulation is defined as a deliberate intervention in the natural evolution of physical processes in the atmosphere and other components of the earth’s climate system (ECS) in order to achieve some desired results [1, 2]
It should be noted that the current status of climate system studies is characterized by dramatic progress achieved over the last few decades in understanding basic physical processes and fundamental feedback mechanisms that control the climate formation and change
Since the atmosphere and other climate system components have a large number of positive and negative feedback mechanisms, we present the transfer function for weather and climate control operations taking into account closed-loop concept: Tc (s)

Summary

Introduction

Weather and climate manipulation is defined as a deliberate intervention in the natural evolution of physical processes in the atmosphere and other components of the earth’s climate system (ECS) in order to achieve some desired results [1, 2]. To date a number of methods and technologies were proposed by scientists and engineers to stabilize the ECS and to mitigate the global warming (e.g., [18,19,20,21,22,23,24]) The realization of both weather modification and climate engineering operations is a goal-directed process, having specific objectives that should be somehow formulated and certainly achieved. We can create the artificial precipitation by cloud seeding; the formal proof of the existence of the optimal solution and the proof of the controllability property for an applied mathematical model are problems of extreme difficulty For this reason, in weather modification, the term “intentional (deliberate) action” is usually used instead of “control.” we have to make the distinction between control as an engineering problem and control as a mathematical problem. This shows that even a relatively simplified control problem for the atmospheric dynamics requires significant efforts to obtain the solution

Complexity in the Earth’s Climate System

Control versus Manipulation of the Earth’s Climate System

Concluding Remarks