Abstract
This paper contributes to the on-going discussion of how best to calculate the reliability of a fixed offshores structure. This discussion has been driven, in large part, by improved physical understanding of waves arising in realistic design sea-states, with a growing appreciation that many ‘design wave events’ will be breaking, irrespective of water depth. As such, it is increasingly acknowledged that some aspects of present design practice are non-conservative. In re-assessing older structures, the accurate calculation of horizontal wave-in-deck (WID) loads is often the most important and least tractable part. This paper explains the underlying reason, highlights the wider implications for identifying an appropriate design point, and raises fundamental questions in the assumptions underpinning present practice. Specifically, a large laboratory data base of WID events is used to assess the success of available models. These comparisons confirm that recommended practice, including recent updates, consistently under-predict the maximum WID loads on which reliability calculations should be based. In contrast the recently developed Lagrangian Momentum Absorption (LMA) model (Ma and Swan, 2020b), a simple but complete load model that combines fully-nonlinear wave inputs and the openness/porosity of a structure, provides highly accurate predictions. This is achieved without empirical coefficients/calibrations and therefore ideally suited to design/re-assessment applications.
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