Water Quality Management Using Hybrid Machine Learning and Data Mining Algorithms: An Indexing Approach

Abstract

One of the key functions of global water resource management authorities is river water quality (WQ) COD assessment. A water quality index (WQI) is developed for water assessments considering numerous quality-related variables. WQI assessments typically take a long time and are prone to errors during sub-indices generation. This can be tackled through the latest machine learning (ML) techniques that are renowned for superior accuracy. In this study, water samples were taken from the wells in the study area (North Pakistan) to develop WQI prediction models. Four standalone algorithms, i.e., random trees (RT), random forest (RF), M5P, and reduced error pruning tree (REPT), were used in this study. In addition, 12 hybrid data-mining algorithms (combination of standalone, bagging (BA), cross-validation parameter selection (CVPS), and randomizable filtered classification (RFC)) were also used. Using the 10-fold cross-validation technique, the data were separated into two groups (70:30) for algorithm creation. Ten random input permutations were created using Pearson correlation coefficients to identify the best possible combination of datasets for improving the algorithm prediction. The variables with very low correlations performed poorly, whereas hybrid algorithms increased the prediction capability of numerous standalone algorithms. Hybrid RT-Artificial Neural Network (RT-ANN) with RMSE = 2.319, MAE = 2.248, NSE = 0.945 and PBIAS = -0.64, outperformed all other algorithms. Most algorithms overestimated WQI values except for BA-RF, RF, BA-REPT, REPT, RFC-M5P, RFC-REPT, and ANN- Adaptive Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS).