Abstract

Mechanical reliability analysis of water distribution networks (WDNs) refers to the assessment to provide correct service to customers under abnormal functioning conditions due to system component failures. Mechanical reliability depends on the isolation valve system (IVS) effectiveness in isolating a network segment and on the failure probability. The main aim of this work was the formal development of reliability indicators considering pressure-driven analysis (PDA) for customer demand and topological changes. Three factors influencing reliability were identified: (1) the hydraulic behavior of the still-connected network; (2) the topological performance of the IVS; and (3) the topological performance of the IVS with respect to unintended isolation. The reliability performance assessment of the network over time depends on the hydraulic capacity of the WDN under abnormal functioning conditions and on two IVS performance topological indicators of the risk of disconnection and unintended isolations. The hydraulic capacity was computed using PDA, whereas the topological risks were computed considering the unsupplied demand in the isolated segment and the normalized failure probability, i.e., the probability of a segment disconnection for an assumed failure occurrence in the network. The development of a modularity index for an IVS was achieved in a consistent framework and the integrated design of an IVS and district metering areas was introduced. The framework allows the analysis of the isolation valve failure. A real Apulian WDN was used to discuss and demonstrate the theoretical findings.

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