Abstract

In this research, monthly hydrological and daily meteorological data were collected across China for the period 1956–2012. Modified Mann–Kendall tests, double mass curve analysis, and correlation statistics were performed to identify the long-term trends and interrelation of the hydrometeorological variables and to examine the influencing factors of streamflow and sediment. The results are as follows: (1) In the last 60 years, the streamflow in northern China has shown different decreasing trends. For the southern rivers, the streamflow presented severe fluctuations, but the declining trend was insignificant. For the streamflow in western China, an increasing trend was shown. (2) In the northern rivers, the streamflow was jointly controlled by the East Asian monsoon and westerlies. In the southern rivers, the runoff was mainly influenced by the Tibet–Qinghai monsoon, the South Asian monsoon, and westerlies. (3) Sediment loads in the LCRB (Lancang River Basin) and YZRB (Yarlung Zangbo River Basin) did not present significant change trends, although other rivers showed different degrees of gradual reduction, particularly in the 2000s. (4) Underlying surface and precipitation changes jointly influenced the streamflow in eastern rivers. The water consumption for industrial and residential purposes, soil and water conservation engineering, hydraulic engineering, and underlying surface changes induced by other factors were the main causes of streamflow and sediment reduction.

Highlights

  • Global warming caused by human-induced emissions of greenhouse gases is accelerating the global hydrological cycle [1]

  • To determine the possible causes of streamflow variation, we examined Asian monsoon indices, including the East Asian monsoon index (EAMI), South Asian monsoon index (SAMI), Tibet–Qinghai

  • The results showed that streamflow in the Yellow River Basin (YRB) was jointly affected by the East Asian monsoon and westerlies, which reflects the interaction of westerlies and the East Asian monsoon

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Summary

Introduction

Global warming caused by human-induced emissions of greenhouse gases is accelerating the global hydrological cycle [1]. Water security and related implications for ecosystem and river diversity, the variability and availability of regional water resources under the influences of climatic change and human activities, have been discussed in recent years [6,7,8]. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has reviewed changes in the global hydrological cycle and has assessed the impacts of climatic change on water resources [9].

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