Abstract
This paper performs a forensic study of the Peru’s presidential election on June 6th, 2021 between Pedro Castillo and Keiko Fujimori, where ex-candidate Keiko Fujimori claimed there had been irregularities. We calculate three p-values that help us determine if there was fraud. The consensus of the results indicates that there was no manipulation of the results.
Highlights
On April 11th, 2021 the first roúnd presidential election was held with 24 political parties, where it was projected as potential winners the Perú Libre candidate Pedro Castillo and the Fúerza Popúlar candidate Keiko Fújimori with
On Júne 8th the right-wing conservative candidate Keiko Fújimori denoúnced there had been irregúlarities in favor of Pedro Castillo[1], and even claimed that the elections had to be held again[2] Keiko Fújimori recognized the victory of her opponent on Júly 26th, and the ONPE declared as winner to Pedro Castillo
In this table we can observe that Pedro Castillo loss in six of twenty five states
Summary
On April 11th, 2021 the first roúnd presidential election was held with 24 political parties, where it was projected as potential winners the Perú Libre candidate Pedro Castillo and the Fúerza Popúlar candidate Keiko Fújimori with. On Júne 8th the right-wing conservative candidate Keiko Fújimori denoúnced there had been irregúlarities in favor of Pedro Castillo[1], and even claimed that the elections had to be held again[2] Keiko Fújimori recognized the victory of her opponent on Júly 26th , and the ONPE declared as winner to Pedro Castillo For this reason, we performed a stúdy based on statistical techniqúes according to the Benford’s Law[3] to determine if there actúally was any manipúlation in resúlts. We calcúlated the L2 term given by: The forensic analysis was performed with the same compútational methodology employed both in the Covid-19 registered cases stúdy[6], and in the recent US elections held in 20207 This methodology is based in the Benford’s Law, and we determine three critical valúes. 0,44 the second roúnd election resúlts groúped by political party
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