Abstract
Is the asset management sector a source of financial instability? This paper develops a macroprudential stress test model which enables the quantification of systemic vulnerabilities due to fire sales in this sector. The model incorporates the flow-performance relationship as an additional funding shock in the model of Greenwood et al. (2015). Using data on US equity mutual funds for the period 2003–14, we quantify both fund-specific and system-wide (aggregate) vulnerabilities to fire sales over time. Our main finding is that the aggregate vulnerability, according to this propagation mechanism, is relatively small in comparison with values reported for banks. However, during periods of low market liquidity, the vulnerability of the system can become significant. Our paper also contributes to the ongoing discussion on the SIFI designation of Non-Bank Non-Insurer entities. For this purpose, we explore the determinants of individual funds’ vulnerability to systemic asset liquidations, highlighting the importance of size and portfolio illiquidity. Therefore, regulators should monitor structural vulnerabilities in the fund sector arising through liquidity transformation.
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