Abstract

INTRODUCTION:Among economists, there is widespread agreement that the monetary valuation of health gains should reflect the preferences of those who will be affected by resource allocation decisions. In the context of Health Technology Assessments (HTAs), this view implies a need for reliable empirical estimates of the value of statistical life year (VSLY), which should provide a useful point of reference for cost benefit analyses.METHODS:We conducted a systematic review of the literature on the economic value of a statistical life (VSL). We searched in the EconBiz and EconLit databases for studies, which reported VSL estimates based on original research and were published between 1995 and 2015. We classified studies by methodology, that is, revealed preference (RP) or stated preference (SP; that is, CV, contingent valuation, or DCE (discrete choice experiment) approach, and by regional origin of data. We transformed VSL estimates into VSLY expressed in year 2014 Euros, using life expectancy tables for the populations studied, a real discount rate of 3 percent, national Consumer Price Indices for inflating, and purchasing power parities for currency conversion. In addition, we calculated ratios of VSLY to gross domestic product (GDP) per capita.RESULTS:Our search yielded 120 studies appropriate for inclusion. From these, we extracted a total of 132 VSL estimates (RP, n = 60; SP, n = 72). The median VSLY was 6.4 times GDP/capita. Transformed into Euro (2014), the median VSLY was EUR165,000 (mean, EUR217,000). We found significant differences by regional source of data (North American, median EUR272,000; European, EUR158,000) and by method (RP, EUR241,000; SP: CV, EUR117,000; DCE, EUR187,000). VSLY estimates were sensitive to discount rate.CONCLUSIONS:Our data indicate that VSLY estimates based on empirical data exceed benchmarks commonly used in the context of HTAs. However, inter-study variability, methodological limitations, and normative considerations, all suggest to exercise caution before translating this observation into actual policy.

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