Abstract

Purpose of the work is to evaluate the relevance of measuring cervical length by transvaginal ultrasound to assess the risk of spontaneous prematurity in the event of a threat of preterm birth and its contribution to the indication of emergency hospitalisation. This is a prospective study of 100 patients presenting threatened preterm labour between 24–36 weeks of gestation, having undergone cervical assessment by ultrasound, collected at the maternity and neonatal centre of Tunis during a period of 12 months from May 2017 to May 2018. The average age is 29 years old. 59% are primiparous. 55 patients have a cervical length ≤25mm. Ultrasound measurement of the cervical length, with a threshold at 25mm, has a sensitivity of 100% and 92% to predict respectively the occurrence of a delivery at 48H and seven days. The specificity is respectively 53% and 58%. The positive likelihood ratio is estimated at 2.15 and 2.2, respectively. The Baumgarten score≥ 4 has a positive likelihood ratio similar to ultrasound but a significantly lower sensitivity. The presence of membrane protrusion has a positive likelihood ratio estimated at 2.75 and 4.15 to predict the onset of delivery at 48H and at seven days, respectively, but with a sensitivity of 68% and 73%. The measurement of the opening of the cervical internal orifice ≥ 5mm seems of little use with a positive likelihood ratio of 0.85 and 0.79. Cervical length measurement by transvaginal ultrasound with a threshold at 25mm facilitates the identification of women at risk of preterm delivery and thus the selection of those who could benefit from specific care.

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