Abstract

The purpose of this study is to provide insight into the probability of success or failure of a political candidate by the name of A.P. in future elections, specifically in the area of political campaigns. Understanding these probabilities can have a significant impact on electoral processes and political decision-making, which is a crucial area of social and political importance. The focus of the study is on a future political candidate. The purpose of the study is to present objective data on A.P.'s performance in the upcoming elections, with the main goal of determining his likelihood of triumph or failure in future elections, and whether he will withdraw from the political arena after a potential loss. The understanding of political candidates' careers and their impact on election outcomes is crucial. Identifying appropriate tools and methods to accurately predict electoral uncertainty is the main research question.

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