Voting power in the European Union enlargement

Abstract

The Shapley–Shubik power index in a voting situation depends on the number of orderings in which each player is pivotal. The Banzhaf power index depends on the number of ways in which each voter can effect a swing. If there are n players in a voting situation, then the function which measures the worst case running time for computing these indices is in O( n2 n ). We present a combinatorial method based in generating functions to compute these power indices efficiently in weighted double or triple majority games and we study the time complexity of the algorithms. Moreover, we calculate these power indices for the countries in the Council of Ministers of the European Union under the new decision rules prescribed by the Treaty of Nice.