Volcanic Ash Classification Through Machine Learning

Abstract

AbstractVolcanic ash provides information that can help understanding the evolution of volcanic activity during the early stages of a crisis and possible transitions toward different eruptive styles. Ash consists of particles from a range of origins within the volcanic system and its analysis can be indicative of the processes driving the eruptive activity. However, classifying ash particles into different types is not straightforward. Diagnostic observations for particle classification are not standardized and vary across samples. Here we explore the use of machine learning (ML) to improve the classification accuracy and reproducibility. We use a curated database of ash particles (VolcAshDB) to optimize and train two ML‐based models: Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) that uses the measured physical attributes of the particles, from which predictions are interpreted by the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method, and a Vision Transformer (ViT) that classifies binocular, multi‐focused, particle images. We find that the XGBoost has an overall classification accuracy of 0.77 (macro F1‐score), and specific features of color (hue_mean) and texture (correlation) are the most discriminant between particle types. Classification using the particle images and the ViT is more accurate (macro F1‐score of 0.93), with performances varying from 0.85 for samples of dome explosions, to 0.95 for phreatic and subplinian events. Notwithstanding the success of the classification algorithms, the training dataset is limited in number of particles, ranges of eruptive styles, and volcanoes. Thus, the algorithms should be tested further with additional samples, and it is likely that classification for a given volcano is more accurate than between volcanoes.