Visualizing the Behavior of Convolutional Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting

Abstract

AbstractIn recent years Neural Networks and especially Deep Neural Networks (DNN) have seen a rise in popularity. DNNs have increased the overall performance of algorithms in applications such as image recognition and classification, 2D and 3D pose detection, natural language processing, and time series forecasting. Especially in image classification and recognition, so-called Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) have gained high interest as they can reach a high accuracy, which makes them a viable solution in cancer detection or autonomous driving. As CNNs are widely used in image tasks, different visualizations techniques have bee developed to show how their internals are working. Apart from image tasks, CNNs are applicable to other problems, e.g., time series classification, time series forecasting, or natural language processing. CNNs in those contexts behave similarly, allowing for the same visualization techniques to make them more interpretable. In this chapter, we adapt image visualization algorithms to time series problems, allowing us to build granular, intuitively interpretable feature hierarchies to make a time series forecast as understandable as an image recognition task. We do so by using our previous work on power time series forecasting using CNN Auto Encoders (AEs) and applying typical CNN visualization techniques to it. Thus, we guid computer scientists to provide better interpretable figures for a time series forecasting task to application domain experts.KeywordsVisualizationConvolutional neural networksTime series data