Abstract

Determining the population status of the diamondback terrapin (Malaclemys terrapin spp.) is challenging due to their ecology and limitations associated with traditional sampling methods. Visual counting of emergent heads offers a promising, efficient, and non-invasive method for generating abundance estimates of terrapin populations across broader spatial scales than has been achieved using capture–recapture, and can be used to quantify determinants of spatial variation in abundance. We conducted repeated visual head count surveys along the shoreline of Wellfleet Bay in Wellfleet, Massachusetts, and analyzed the count data using a hierarchical modeling framework designed specifically for repeated count data: the N-mixture model. This approach allows for simultaneous modeling of imperfect detection to generate estimates of true terrapin abundance. Detection probability was lowest when temperatures were coldest and when wind speed was highest. Local abundance was on average higher in sheltered sites compared to exposed sites and declined over the course of the sampling season. We demonstrate the utility of pairing visual head counts and N-mixture models as an efficient method for estimating terrapin abundance and show how the approach can be used to identifying environmental factors that influence detectability and distribution.

Highlights

  • The diamondback terrapin (DBT; Malaclemys terrapin spp.) is the only estuarine obligate turtle species in North America [1], and as a result, has a long but fragmented coastal range that extends from Cape Cod, Massachusetts, to the Texas Gulf Coast [2]

  • We demonstrate the utility of pairing visual head counts and N-mixture models as an efficient method for estimating terrapin abundance and show how the approach can be used to identifying environmental factors that influence detectability and distribution

  • Our results suggest that visual head visual head count surveys are a promising method for monitoring of diamondback terrapins

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Summary

Introduction

The diamondback terrapin (DBT; Malaclemys terrapin spp.) is the only estuarine obligate turtle species in North America [1], and as a result, has a long but fragmented coastal range that extends from Cape Cod, Massachusetts, to the Texas Gulf Coast [2]. DBTs are currently listed as protected or regulated in every range state [3]. Despite their conservation status, population assessments have been limited to very local scales, and as a result, comparable and representative status assessments of this imperiled species are generally lacking [3,4]. A variety of methods are used to monitor DBTs, including modified crab traps [9,10,11], hoop traps [12,13], trammel nets [4,12,13,14], fyke nets [15,16], seines [14,17,18], and dip nets [10,13]. In Wellfleet Bay (MA), almost four decades of monitoring using capture mark–recapture (CMR) has resulted in over 3000 marked

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