Abstract

Simple SummaryAssessing follow-up computed tomography(CT) series is of great importance in clinical practice for lung nodule diagnosis. Deep learning is a thriving data mining method in medical imaging and has obtained surprising results. However, previous studies mostly focused on the analysis of single static time points instead of the entire follow-up series and required regular intervals between CT examinations. In the current study, we propose a new deep learning framework, named ViSTA, that can better evaluate tumor invasiveness using irregularly serial follow-up CT images to avoid aggressive procedures or delay diagnosis in clinical practice. ViSTA provides a new solution for irregularly sampled data. ViSTA delivers superior performance compared with other static or serial deep learning models. The proposed ViSTA framework is capable of improving performance close to the human level in the prediction of invasiveness of lung adenocarcinoma while being transferrable to other tasks analyzing serial medical data.To investigate the value of the deep learning method in predicting the invasiveness of early lung adenocarcinoma based on irregularly sampled follow-up computed tomography (CT) scans. In total, 351 nodules were enrolled in the study. A new deep learning network based on temporal attention, named Visual Simple Temporal Attention (ViSTA), was proposed to process irregularly sampled follow-up CT scans. We conducted substantial experiments to investigate the supplemental value in predicting the invasiveness using serial CTs. A test set composed of 69 lung nodules was reviewed by three radiologists. The performance of the model and radiologists were compared and analyzed. We also performed a visual investigation to explore the inherent growth pattern of the early adenocarcinomas. Among counterpart models, ViSTA showed the best performance (AUC: 86.4% vs. 60.6%, 75.9%, 66.9%, 73.9%, 76.5%, 78.3%). ViSTA also outperformed the model based on Volume Doubling Time (AUC: 60.6%). ViSTA scored higher than two junior radiologists (accuracy of 81.2% vs. 75.4% and 71.0%) and came close to the senior radiologist (85.5%). Our proposed model using irregularly sampled follow-up CT scans achieved promising accuracy in evaluating the invasiveness of the early stage lung adenocarcinoma. Its performance is comparable with senior experts and better than junior experts and traditional deep learning models. With further validation, it can potentially be applied in clinical practice.

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