Abstract

Subject Colombia confidence measures Significance Following confidence-building measures (CBMs) and a rare period of cooperation between the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) and the Colombian government, a rebel attack in April has undermined the fragile trust. The government appears unmoved on the issue of a bilateral ceasefire and with each FARC attack damaging its public image, the rebels' acts of violence may prove counterproductive at the negotiating table. Impacts The FARC attack raises questions over the organisation's cohesion and its potential to fracture in the event of a peace agreement. Reduced trust between the government and the FARC could slow progress at the negotiation table and weaken the FARC's hand. Failure to secure a deal that mid-level commanders consider fair could encourage the group's fragmentation.

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