Verification Study of Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Analysis Code for Reactor Pressure Vessel During Pressurized Thermal Shock

Abstract

This investigation is to present a verification study of probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM) analysis code for a reactor pressure vessel (RPV) during pressurized thermal shock (PTS). The probabilistic fracture mechanics code FAVOR, developed by Oak Ridge National Laboratory, is used to calculate the conditional probabilities of crack initiation and penetration for welds that are located in the RPV beltline region. The procedure includes deterministic analyses of the temperature and stress distributions through the vessel wall at the PTS, and probabilistic analyses on the vessel failure probability as a result of PTS transients. The RPV geometries, material properties, and properties related to embrittlement are those in taken from previous studies. Two previously suggested hypothetical transients, which may seriously affect RPV integrity, are also taken into account. To verify the results of PFM round robin analysis of RPV during PTS events, several models and Monte Carlo methods for determining PFM performance are used and they agree on the accuracy of the failure assessment is obtained. The present work can be regarded as various important factors about performing PFM that affect in evaluating the structural safety and operational stability of RPVs. The comparisons of the paper also support the finding that the FAVOR code is very practically useful in assessing failure probability.