Abstract

SummaryBackgroundCOVID-19 has caused profound socio-economic changes worldwide. However, internationally comparative data regarding the financial impact on individuals is sparse. Therefore, we conducted a survey of the financial impact of the pandemic on individuals, using an international cohort that has been well-characterized prior to the pandemic.MethodsBetween August 2020 and September 2021, we surveyed 24,506 community-dwelling participants from the Prospective Urban-Rural Epidemiology (PURE) study across high (HIC), upper middle (UMIC)-and lower middle (LMIC)-income countries. We collected information regarding the impact of the pandemic on their self-reported personal finances and sources of income.FindingsOverall, 32.4% of participants had suffered an adverse financial impact, defined as job loss, inability to meet financial obligations or essential needs, or using savings to meet financial obligations. 8.4% of participants had lost a job (temporarily or permanently); 14.6% of participants were unable to meet financial obligations or essential needs at the time of the survey and 16.3% were using their savings to meet financial obligations. Participants with a post-secondary education were least likely to be adversely impacted (19.6%), compared with 33.4% of those with secondary education and 33.5% of those with pre-secondary education. Similarly, those in the highest wealth tertile were least likely to be financially impacted (26.7%), compared with 32.5% in the middle tertile and 30.4% in the bottom tertile participants. Compared with HICs, financial impact was greater in UMIC [odds ratio of 2.09 (1.88–2.33)] and greatest in LMIC [odds ratio of 16.88 (14.69–19.39)]. HIC participants with the lowest educational attainment suffered less financial impact (15.1% of participants affected) than those with the highest education in UMIC (22.0% of participants affected). Similarly, participants with the lowest education in UMIC experienced less financial impact (28.3%) than those with the highest education in LMIC (45.9%). A similar gradient was seen across country income categories when compared by pre-pandemic wealth status.InterpretationThe financial impact of the pandemic differs more between HIC, UMIC, and LMIC than between socio-economic categories within a country income level. The most disadvantaged socio-economic subgroups in HIC had a lower financial impact from the pandemic than the most advantaged subgroup in UMIC, with a similar disparity seen between UMIC and LMIC. Continued high levels of infection will exacerbate financial inequity between countries and hinder progress towards the sustainable development goals, emphasising the importance of effective measures to control COVID-19 and, especially, ensuring high vaccine coverage in all countries.FundingFunding for this study was provided by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research and the International Development Research Centre.

Highlights

  • Since March 2020, COVID-19 is reported as having caused >4 million deaths globally, though the real numbers may be substantially higher, with the unrecorded toll likely to be especially great in lower income countries.[1]

  • We show that the primary inequity in the financial impact of the pandemic is between rich and poor countries, and that this difference is less marked within individuals at the same country-income level

  • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is estimated to have contracted by 4.3% in 2020.2 GDP does not capture the economic impact on individuals; it fails to capture the distribution of income or the support that people can draw on.[3]

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Summary

Introduction

Since March 2020, COVID-19 is reported as having caused >4 million deaths globally, though the real numbers may be substantially higher, with the unrecorded toll likely to be especially great in lower income countries.[1] both the disease and the responses necessary to reduce its spread have caused profound social and economic damage on a scale almost unprecedented in peacetime. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is estimated to have contracted by 4.3% in 2020.2 GDP does not capture the economic impact on individuals; it fails to capture the distribution of income or the support that people can draw on.[3] Subjective measures of financial conditions offer an alternative that correlate well with measures of health and wellbeing, and are especially helpful in cross-country comparisons.[4,5] We aimed to survey the financial impact of the pandemic on individuals in the community irrespective of whether they contracted COVID in a standardized manner, within an ongoing global cohort that has been well-characterized prior to the pandemic

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