Abstract

The article presents the author's vision of the actuality and factors of development of the Ukrainian economy agrarian sector; it outlines the differences and the influence of the variance and variability of these factors. The role of the concept of sustainable development in relation to the tendencies of adaptation and self-management of structural and functional elements of the agrarian system is indicated. The separate trends of the agrarian sector development in Ukraine in the form of variant are considered. The peculiarities of structural distribution of agrarian production in Ukraine are established. The importance of agricultural producers choosing as a factor of branch and structural changes, the role of partnership with stakeholders are noted. The complexity of modeling of production and socioeconomic processes in agrarian sector of the national economy in conditions of uncertainty and risk, which should be based on the games theory, simulation models, fuzzy set theory, neural networks, are shown. Predictable scenarios of agrarian development are suggested. The strategies of further development of the national economy agrarian sector are proposed.

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