Abstract

Objective To establish a noninvasive diagnostic model for moderate-to-severe gastroesophageal varices (GEV) in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis. Methods The patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis who attended The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University from October 2017 to December 2019 were enrolled, and with the results of gastroscopy as the gold standard, the patients were divided into none-to-mild GEV group and moderate-to-severe GEV group. The Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups, and the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data. A logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the association of moderate-to-severe GEV with spleen stiffness measured by two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) and platelet count (PLT)/spleen diameter ratio in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis, and with the backward method for independent variable screening, a regression equation, i.e., a diagnostic model, was established and validated. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to investigate the diagnostic value of noninvasive examination indices including liver and spleen stiffness, PLT/spleen diameter ratio, and the above diagnostic model and obtain their cut-off values, the DeLong test was used to compare whether there is a statistical significance between the ROC curves of the above noninvasive indices. Results A total of 168 patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis were enrolled, among whom 67 were diagnosed with moderate-to-severe GEV. There were significant differences in PLT, alanine aminotransferase, albumin, white blood cell count, and international normalized ratio between the none-to-mild GEV group and the moderate-to-severe GEV group (Z=-6.508, -2.132, -2.470, -4.510, and -5.298, all P Conclusion The noninvasive diagnostic model based on spleen stiffness measured by 2D-SWE and PLT/spleen diameter ratio can be used to assist the judgment of moderate-to-severe GEV in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis, with a higher accuracy than liver stiffness or spleen stiffness alone.

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