Abstract

IntroductionThe forensic-psychiatric assessment of the risk of terrorist radicalisation in the mentally ill patient is of special interest for the evaluation of criminal dangerousness. This particularly relevant in ligh of the recent investigations into so-called lone-wolves, which indicate a high prevalence of mental illness within this type of terrorist. MethodologyAnalysis of the predictive validity of the Terrorist Radicalisation Assessment Protocol (TRAP-18) to predict future violent incidents of an extremist nature in a representative sample of 44 patients with severe mental illness in situations of social exclusion and with a prison history. ResultsThe ROC Curves analysis indicated that the total score of TRAP-18 (AUC 1.00, P=.018) has a high predictive validity. ConclusionsTRAP-18 could be a useful tool for assessing the risk of terrorist radicalisation in the mentally ill patient,; especially in the group of people with severe mental illness in situations of social exclusion and with a prison record, who have a greater potential risk of terrorist radicalistion as lone-wolves.

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