Validity of the Manchester Triage System in emergency patients receiving life‐saving intervention or acute medical treatment—A prospective observational study in the emergency department

Abstract

The spectrum of cases seen by emergency departments ranges from minor illnesses or injuries to complex diseases with high mortality. Some patients require life-saving interventions (LSIs) or therapeutic treatment for an acute illness to prevent an expected imminent life-threatening condition immediately upon arrival. No published study has evaluated the validity of the Manchester Triage System (MTS) in the context of immediate LSI or acute emergency treatment (AET). The definition of LSI was based on a literature search. AET was defined by an expert panel based on current emergency guidelines and diagnostic guideline recommendations. In a 4-month observation period, an independent external observer documented all executed LSIs or AETs using a checklist. Sensitivity, negative predictive value, likelihood ratio negative (LR-), and accuracy of MTS triage level for the identification of patients receiving an LSI or AET were calculated. In 1762 patients, 40 (2.3%) LSIs and 89 (5.1%) AETs were observed. In the LSI group, sensitivity of MTS was 75.0%, negative predictive value (NPV) was 99.2% (95% CI: 98.7%-99.6%), LR- was 0.303 (95% CI: 0.189-0.487) and accuracy (ACC) was 98.5% (95% CI: 97.8%-98.9%). In the AET group, sensitivity was 82.0%, NPV was 98.9% (95% CI: 98.1%-99.3%), LR- was 0.206 (95% CI: 0.132-0.322), and ACC was 86.5% (95% CI: 84.9%-88.1%). The MTS is a valid instrument for a first assessment of emergency patients in critical condition upon arrival.