Validation of the Living Kidney Donor Profile Index in a European cohort and comparison of long-term outcomes with US results.

Abstract

Recently, a risk index for living donor kidney (LDK) transplantation [living kidney donor profile index (LKDPI)] was proposed to compare LDKs with each other and with deceased donor kidneys (DDKs). Until now, the LKDPI has not been validated externally. This long-term retrospective analysis included 1305 consecutive adult kidney transplant recipients who were transplanted 2000-16 in our centre. The Kidney Donor Profile Index (KDPI) was calculated in 889 DDKs and the LKDPI in 416 LDKs. Outcome was followed over a median of 6.5 years. The median LKDPI was 17 and the median KDPI was 69, with a high proportion of donor kidneys with a very high KDPI (40% KDPI ≥ 80). Categorization of LDK into LKDPI quartiles (LKDPI -45-3, 3-17, 17-33, 33-90) revealed a significant difference in death-censored graft survival. Comparing corresponding subgroups of the LKDPI and KDPI (LKDPI/KDPI 0-20 or 20-40) showed comparable graft survival. A multivariate analysis adjusting for relevant recipient factors revealed the KDPI [hazard ratio (HR) 1.21; P < 0.001) and LKDPI (HR 1.15; P = 0.049) as significant independent predictors of graft loss. Time-to-event receiver operating characteristic analyses for graft survival demonstrated lower predictive discrimination of the LKDPI [area under the curve (AUC) 0.55] compared with the KDPI (AUC 0.66). The 10-year graft survival of LDK recipients was inferior in the USA compared with our centre (79% versus 84%). These results provide external validation of the LKDPI to predict death-censored graft survival and confirm comparability of the LKDPI with the KDPI to discriminate post-transplant outcome.