Validation of IPSS criteria in more than 1,600 MDS patients

Abstract

7079 Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) are a diverse group of clonal stem cell disorders characterized by bone marrow failure, dysmyelopoiesis and peripheral cytopenias and affecting predominantly an elderly population. The International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) incorporates the number of peripheral cytopenias, percentage of bone marrow blasts and chromosomal abnormalities and assigns a score to predict survival and risk of disease progression to AML. Using the extensive MDS database at the University of Massachusetts we analyzed survival time in relation to IPSS scoring and also its various individual components, i.e. blast percentage, number of cell lines involved and the number of karyotype abnormalities in 1,200+ patients. The overall median survival time in 1,424 MDS patients as a group was 2.9 years. IPSS low group had the longest median survival time of 7.5 years with IPSS Int-1 3.6 years. There was minimal difference in the median survival time between IPSS Int-2 and IPSS high risk group 1.2 and 1.1 years respectively. These results were significant for a P value of <0.0001. The median survival time for blasts <5% was 5.3 years and blast 5–10% was 1.7 years. Interestingly, there was minimal survival difference between median survival time for blasts 11–20% and blasts >20% showing 1.2 years and 1.3 years respectively. Again, these results were significant for a P value of <0.0001. The median survival time for the number of cytopenias involved was also calculated with 0, 1, 2 and 3 numbers of cytopenias showing 6.4 years, 4.4 years, 2.6 years and 1.8 years respectively, with P value of <0.0001. The median survival time for normal karyotype versus one or two karyotype abnormality was 4.9 years, 2.6 years and 2.4 years respectively. Three or more karyotype abnormalities showed a median survival time of 0.8 years. The P value was again significant (<0.0001). Our results not only validate the prognostic value of IPSS scoring system as a whole but also its various individual prognostic indicators. No significant financial relationships to disclose.