Validation of Biomechanical Computed Tomography for Fracture Risk Classification in Metastatic Hormone-sensitive Prostate Cancer

Abstract

BackgroundGuidelines recommend dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) screening to assess fracture risk and benefit from antiresorptive therapy in men with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) on androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). However, <30% of eligible patients undergo DXA screening. Biomechanical computed tomography (BCT) is a radiomic technique that measures bone mineral density (BMD) and bone strength from computed tomography (CT) scans. ObjectiveTo evaluate the (1) correlations between BCT- and DXA-assessed BMD, and (2) associations between BCT-assessed metrics and subsequent fracture. Design, setting, and participantsA multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted among patients with mHSPC between 2013 and 2020 who received CT abdomen/pelvis or positron emission tomography/CT within 48 wk before ADT initiation and during follow-up (48–96 wk after ADT initiation). Outcome measurements and statistical analysisWe used univariate logistic regression to assess the associations between BCT measurements and the primary outcomes of subsequent pathologic and nonpathologic fractures. Results and limitationsAmong 91 eligible patients, the median ([interquartile range) age was 67 yr (62–75), 44 (48.4%) were White, and 41 (45.1%) were Black. During the median follow-up of 82 wk, 17 men (18.6%) developed a pathologic and 15 (16.5%) a nonpathologic fracture. BCT- and DXA-assessed femoral-neck BMD T scores were strongly correlated (R2 = 0.93). On baseline CT, lower BCT-assessed BMD (odds ratio [OR] 1.80, 95% confidence interval or CI [1.10, 3.25], p = 0.03) was associated with an increased risk of a pathologic fracture. Lower femoral strength (OR 1.63, 95% CI [0.99, 2.71], p = 0.06) was marginally associated with an increased risk of a pathologic fracture. Neither BMD (OR 1.52, 95% CI [0.95, 2.63], p = 0.11) nor strength (OR 1.14, 95% CI [0.75, 1.80], p = 0.57) was associated with a nonpathologic fracture. BCT identified nine (9.9%) men eligible for antiresorptive therapy, of whom four (44%) were not treated. Limitations include low fracture numbers resulting in lower power to detect fracture associations. ConclusionsAmong men diagnosed with mHSPC, BCT assessments were strongly correlated with DXA, predicted subsequent pathologic fracture, and identified additional men indicated for antiresorptive therapy. Patient summaryWe assess whether biomechanical computer tomography (BCT) from routine computer tomography (CT) scans can identify fracture risk among patients recently diagnosed with metastatic prostate cancer. We find that BCT and dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry–derived bone mineral density are strongly correlated and that BCT accurately identifies the risk for future fracture. BCT may enable broader fracture risk assessment and facilitate timely interventions to reduce fracture risk in metastatic prostate cancer patients.