Validation of a Genomic Classifier in the NRG Oncology/RTOG 0521 Phase III Trial of Docetaxel with Androgen Suppression and Radiotherapy for Localized High-Risk Prostate Cancer

Abstract

Decipher is a prognostic genomic classifier (GC) validated in several prospective NRG Oncology Phase III trials. Herein, we validate the GC in pre-treatment biopsy samples for risk stratification in a cohort of high-risk men treated with definitive radiotherapy and androgen suppression with or without docetaxel chemotherapy. As per a pre-specified and approved NCI analysis plan (Navigator #1061), we obtained available formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue from biopsy specimens from the NRG biobank from patients enrolled on the NRG/RTOG 0521 randomized phase III trial. After central review, the highest-grade tumors were profiled on clinical-grade whole-transcriptome arrays (Veracyte, San Diego, CA) and GC scores were obtained. Pre-specified categorical GC scores, adjusted for archival tissue analysis, were used to define higher (>0.46) and lower (≤0.46) risk groups. The primary objective was to validate the independent prognostic ability of GC for metastasis-free survival (MFS) with Cox multivariable analyses (MVA). Samples were obtained from 283 consented, evaluable patients with tissue (50% of trial) yielding 183 (65%) GC scores that passed quality metrics, 91 from control and 92 from the interventional arm. Median age was 66 years, median PSA was 19.3 ng/uL (IQR: 8.1-41.4), 81% had clinical stage ≥T2 and 80% had Gleason score ≥8 (47% ≥9). Median GC score was 0.55 (IQR: 0.38-0.78) and overall the arms were balanced for key covariates. With a median follow-up of 9.9 years (IQR: 9.3, 10.7), 67 MFS events including 34 distant metastases (DM) were observed. On MVA, only the GC (per 0.1 unit) was independently associated with MFS (HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.01-1.25) as well as DM (sHR 1.22, 95% CI 1.06-1.41), whereas the 4 pre-defined trial risk groups used for stratification (based on Gleason score, T-stage and PSA), randomization and patient age were not. For categorical GC, on MVA, higher-risk GC patients (65%) had worse DM (sHR 2.82, 95% CI 1.1-7.3) compared to those with lower GC. Cumulative incidence of DM at 10-years was 27% for higher GC vs 9% (95% CI 7-18%) for lower GC. No biomarker-by-treatment interaction with GC and the addition of docetaxel was detected. In pre-treatment biopsy samples from a randomized Phase 3 trial cohort, GC demonstrated its ability to further risk stratify clinically high-risk men demonstrating an independent association of GC score with DM and MFS. High-risk prostate cancer is a heterogeneous disease state and GC can improve risk stratification to help personalize shared decision-making. NRG-GU009/PREDICT-RT (NCT04513717) aims to determine the optimal therapy based on GC score for high-risk prostate cancer.