Abstract

The development of a non-sputum-based, point-of-care diagnostic test for tuberculosis (TB) is a priority in the global effort to combat this disease, particularly in resource-constrained settings. Previous studies have identified host biomarker signatures which showed potential, but there is a need to validate and refine these for development as a test. We recruited 1,403 adults presenting with symptoms suggestive of pulmonary TB at primary healthcare clinics in six countries from West, East and Southern Africa. Of the study cohort, 326 were diagnosed with TB and 787 with other respiratory diseases, from whom we randomly selected 1005 participants. Using Luminex® technology, we measured the levels of 20 host biomarkers in serum samples which we used to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of previously identified and novel bio-signatures. Our previously identified seven-marker bio-signature did not perform well (sensitivity: 89%, specificity: 60%). We also identified an optimal, two-marker bio-signature with a sensitivity of 94% and specificity of 69% in patients with no history of previous TB. This signature performed slightly better than C-reactive protein (CRP) alone. The cut-off value for a positive diagnosis differed for human immuno-deficiency virus (HIV)-positive and -negative individuals. Notably, we also found that no signature was able to diagnose TB adequately in patients with a prior history of the disease. We have identified a two-marker, pan-African bio-signature which is more robust than CRP alone and meets the World Health Organization (WHO) target product profile requirements for a triage test in both HIV-negative and HIV-positive individuals. This signature could be incorporated into a point-of-care device, greatly reducing the necessity for expensive confirmatory diagnostics and potentially reducing the number of cases currently lost to follow-up. It might also potentially be useful with individuals unable to provide sputum or with paucibacillary disease. We suggest that the performance of TB diagnostic signatures can be improved by incorporating the HIV-status of the patient. We further suggest that only patients who have never had TB be subjected to a triage test and that those with a history of previous TB be evaluated using more direct diagnostic techniques.

Highlights

  • Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major global health burden with the World Health Organization (WHO) reporting 10.4 million new TB cases and 1.6 million TB-related deaths worldwide in 2018

  • Participants in this study were recruited as part of the EDCTP-funded African-European Tuberculosis Consortium (AE-TBC) which included Stellenbosch University (SUN), South Africa; Makerere University, Uganda (UCRC); Medical Research Council Unit, The Gambia at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (MRCG); Karonga Prevention Study (KPS), Malawi; University of Namibia (UNAM), Namibia; Ethiopian Health and Nutrition Research Institute (EHNRI), Ethiopia and The Armauer Hansen Research Institute (AHRI), Ethiopia

  • When we investigated the ability of the markers to diagnose TB disease using Receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, the areas under the ROC curve (AUC) were between 0.70 to 0.86 for 12 out of the 20 investigated analytes, namely; ApoCIII, BNDF, I-309, C-reactive protein (CRP), IP-10, MIG, ferritin, fibrinogen, IFN-g, SAA, SAP, and TNF-a (Figures 2 and 3)

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Summary

Introduction

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major global health burden with the World Health Organization (WHO) reporting 10.4 million new TB cases and 1.6 million TB-related deaths worldwide in 2018. The GeneXpert® test is widely available in developed countries but limitations, including relatively high operating costs and infrastructural requirements hinder its use in resource-constrained settings [5, 6]. It has significantly reduced sensitivity in paucibacillary disease this has been somewhat remedied by the newer Xpert Ultra® [7]. A common and very important limitation of the above-mentioned diagnostic tests is that they are all sputum-based which renders them unsuitable for use in individuals who have difficulty in providing good quality sputum This is true of children, who typically develop paucibacillary disease [8], and of individuals with extra-pulmonary TB or who are HIVpositive. There is, an urgent need for alternative diagnostic tests that are suitable for use in all patient types, especially in resource-poor settings [9]

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