Validating the Modified McGill Thyroid Nodule Score for Assessment of Preoperative Risk of Pediatric Thyroid Malignancy

Abstract

ObjectiveThe McGill Thyroid Nodule Score (MTNS) is a preoperative tool used to predict the risk for well-differentiated thyroid cancer in adults. It was developed by a multidisciplinary team using established evidence-based risk factors for thyroid cancer. The modified McGill Thyroid Nodule Score (mMTNS) was developed to predict malignancy risk in children. A pilot study suggested the mMTNS was able to assess malignancy risk in children with indeterminate cytology on fine needle aspiration (FNA). This study seeks to validate these findings. MethodsRetrospective chart review identified subjects who underwent FNA biopsy and subsequent resection. Each patient was assigned a score to compare to final pathology. Statistical analysis was performed with SPSS. All tests were 2-tailed and statistical significance defined p < 0.05. Logistic regression used to determine predictive values of scores. Results46 patients ≤21 years of age underwent resection of a thyroid nodule. Female predominance of 85% (n = 39). 78% (n = 36) of patients had palpable nodule. 65% (n = 30) found to have benign pathology and 35% (n = 16) found to have malignancy. Malignant nodules associated with greater mean mMTNS compared to benign [13.63 vs 7.23]. An mMTNS greater >12 had sensitivity of 86.7%, specificity of 90.3%, positive predictive value of 81.3%, and negative predictive value of 93.3%. ConclusionOur data suggests the mMTNS continues to be a useful adjunct in predicting malignancy risk of pediatric thyroid nodules. An mMTNS >12 has a high risk for malignancy, which can aid in counseling and clinical decision making, particularly when there is indeterminate cytology on FNA. Level of EvidenceIV.