Vaccine effectiveness against laboratory-confirmed influenza in infants: A matched case control study

Abstract

Influenza is a common and potentially serious infection in infants. Previous studies of influenza vaccine in this age group have reported widely varying estimates of vaccine effectiveness, and few have used laboratory confirmation of influenza diagnoses. We evaluated the effectiveness of 1 and 2 doses of the trivalent inactivated vaccine against laboratory-confirmed influenza in children aged 6 to 23 months within the Kaiser Permanente Northern California Medical Care Program for the 2003-2004, 2004-2005, and 2005-2006 influenza seasons. 1648 children were included in the analyses, with an average of 4.5 controls matched to each of the 300 cases (213, 29, and 58 cases identified for each of the influenza seasons, respectively) based on birth month/year and zip code. Vaccination status was determined as of 14 days prior to the case patient’s positive test result. Conditional logistic regression was used to calculate vaccine effectiveness for each season, adjusting for chronic medical conditions and other possible confounders. During the 2005-2006 influenza season, when predominant circulating virus strains and vaccine strains were well matched, vaccination was 76% [95% CI: 37-91%] effective against laboratory-confirmed infection. There was no statistically significant effect of vaccination, however, for the 2003-2004 or 2004-2005 seasons. Our results highlight the need for further study of influenza vaccine effectiveness in this age group.