Abstract

Abstract: Hydrological modelling and flood prediction are essential components of the Rambiara watershed's water resource management. To improve disaster preparedness and reduce the danger of flooding in the area, the effectiveness of the HEC HMS model in flood forecasting must be assessed. In this study, various techniques for estimating rainfall are examined, and a customized hydrological model tailored to the hydrological complexities of the Rambiara watershed is developed. The goal of this project is to provide practical insights for better flood risk reduction and water resource management through the integration of cutting-edge modelling tools and rigorous analysis. This work advances our knowledge of watershed dynamics and provides guidance for sustainable water resource planning projects in the Rambiara watershed and beyond by thoroughly examining precipitation patterns and hydrological processes. In addition, the research takes into account a number of factors related to flood behaviour, such as determining places that are vulnerable to flooding, analysing the size of floods, and estimating how frequently they occur. By taking a holistic approach, it is possible to gain a thorough understanding of the dynamics of flooding in the Rambiara watershed, which paves the way for the development of efficient flood risk management techniques. This study looks into the temporal and spatial variability of rainfall in the Rambiara watershed in addition to research on floods. Through the comparison of several methods for estimating rainfall, including deterministic and geostatistical approaches, the study offers valuable insights into the precision and dependability of rainfall data, which are essential for hydrological modelling and flood forecasting. The hydrological processes of the Rambiara watershed can be more accurately represented by creating a bespoke hydrological model with the HEC HMS program. Informed decision-making and proactive flood risk reduction strategies are made possible by the study's model calibration and validation, which guarantee the model's dependability in simulating runoff and forecasting flood events. Overall, this study advances our knowledge of flood dynamics in the Rambiara watershed and advances hydrological modelling tools. The goal of this study is to promote sustainability and resilience in the face of hydrological hazards by offering practical insights for managing water resources and reducing the danger of flooding.

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