Abstract

Geographic information system (GIS) technologies and a weighted linear indexing model were used for suitability analysis of potential vineyard sites in Illinois. The model included a macroscale climate variables layer (40 points), a mesoscale climate variables layer (40 points), a soil properties layer (10 points) and a current land use variables layer (10 points) for a possible 100 points. Macroscale climate variables, growing degree day summation for a 33-year period (1969-2002) and occurrence of -26°C were interpolated using thin plate smoothing splines over the Illinois terrain using 100 m2 resolution digital elevation models (DEM). Using the same DEMs, absolute elevation, slope, and aspect were reclassified using surface analysis of the terrain to model the effects of mesoscale climate variables in Jackson and Union Counties in Illinois (study area). Locations in the study area above 259 m in absolute elevation (above sea level), with gently rolling slopes (5 to 10%), and facing North, East, or Northeast received the most points within the mesoscale climate layer. Soils that drained well or moderately well with moderate organic matter content (2 to 3%) received the most points in the soil properties layer. Lands that promoted ease of conversion to vineyards were assigned the most points in the current land use layer. The resulting four layers were arithmetically summed and suitability maps with 760 m2 resolution were developed. In the study area, over 18,155 hectares of land highly suitable or suitable for viticulture were identified. A portion of the existing orchard and vineyard acreage (223 ha) in the study area were surveyed with a global positioning system. Of the surveyed vineyard acreage, over 81% lies within the suitable or better ranking according to the model. Of the surveyed orchard acreage, over 50% lies within the suitable or better ranking.

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