Utility of a prediction model for delirium in intensive care unit patients (PRE-DELIRIC) in mechanically ventilated patients with sepsis.

Abstract

Delirium frequently develops in patients with sepsis during their intensive care unit (ICU) stay, which is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. A prediction model for delirium in patients in ICU, PRE-DELIRIC, has been utilized in overall ICU patients, but its utility is uncertain among patients with sepsis. This study aims to examine the utility of PRE-DELIRIC to predict delirium in mechanically ventilated patients with sepsis. This is a post hoc analysis of a randomized clinical trial in eight Japanese ICUs, which aimed to evaluate the sedative strategy with/without dexmedetomidine in adult mechanically ventilated patients with sepsis. The Confusion Assessment Method for the ICU was used every day to assess for delirium throughout their ICU stay. We excluded patients who were delirious on the first day of ICU, those who were under sustained coma throughout their ICU stay, and those who stayed in the ICU less than 24h. The discriminative ability of PRE-DELIRIC was evaluated by measuring the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Of the 201 patients enrolled in the trial, we analyzed 158 patients. The mean age was 69.4±14.0years, and 99 patients (63%) were men. Delirium occurred at least once during the ICU stay of 63 patients (40%). The AUROC of PRE-DELIRIC was 0.60 (95% confidence interval, 0.50-0.69). Subgroup analyses indicated that PRE-DELIRIC was useful in those with Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score >8 with AUROC of 0.65 (95% confidence interval, 0.51-0.77). The PRE-DELIRIC model could not predict delirium in mechanically ventilated patients with sepsis.