Abstract
2020-2050 is a period of rapid development of China's population aging, and it is also a critical period for the country to actively respond to population aging. Under the background of the combination of medical care and nursing, institutional elderly care services, as an important branch of the multi-level elderly care service system, have become the main battlefield of the integrated medical and elderly care policy. Therefore, institutional care talents for the aged have also become a key link in improving the quality of life of the elderly population. This paper using trend extrapolation model to predict the needs of elderly care talents in institutions in Beijing, including nursing staff who provide basic living care and professional medical staff who provide services such as rehabilitation, medical treatment, nutrition, and psychological consultation. The results show that, in 2050, the demand for institutional elderly nursing staff in Beijing will exceed 150,000, and the demand for institutional elderly medical staff will reach about 20,000.
Highlights
1.1 The aging situation in Beijing is severe, and the function of family care for the elderly continues to weaken
The common international view is that when a country or region’s elderly population over 60 accounts for 10% of the total population, the country or region is regarded as entering an aging society
More and more elderly people are willing to choose socialized pension models such as institutional pension to reduce the burden on their children. This means that between 2020 and 2050, the demand for institutionalized elderly care and other socialized elderly care methods will increase significantly, and with that comes the demand for institutional elderly care talents
Summary
1.1 The aging situation in Beijing is severe, and the function of family care for the elderly continues to weaken. The combination of medical care and nursing is a new type of elderly care model, which is the coordinated participation of traditional elderly service responsibility subjects and medical institutions. This is an old-age care model aimed at the elderly's chronic diseases, senile diseases and rehabilitation needs. It can provide life care and spiritual comfort in traditional elderly care services, and provide professional and convenient medical diagnosis and treatment, nursing care, critical illness rehabilitation, hospice care and other services for disabled and semi-disabled elderly people suffering from diseases [1]. The policy of integrating medical care and elderly care puts forward higher requirements on the institutional elderly care personnel
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