Abstract

Multiple mutational processes drive carcinogenesis, leaving characteristic signatures in tumor genomes. Determining the active signatures from a full repertoire of potential ones helps elucidate mechanisms of cancer development. This involves optimally decomposing the counts of cancer mutations, tabulated according to their trinucleotide context, into a linear combination of known signatures. Here, we develop sigLASSO (a software tool at github.com/gersteinlab/siglasso) to carry out this optimization efficiently. sigLASSO has four key aspects: (1) It jointly optimizes the likelihood of sampling and signature fitting, by explicitly factoring multinomial sampling into the objective function. This is particularly important when mutation counts are low and sampling variance is high (e.g., in exome sequencing). (2) sigLASSO uses L1 regularization to parsimoniously assign signatures, leading to sparse and interpretable solutions. (3) It fine-tunes model complexity, informed by data scale and biological priors. (4) Consequently, sigLASSO can assess model uncertainty and abstain from making assignments in low-confidence contexts.

Highlights

  • Multiple mutational processes drive carcinogenesis, leaving characteristic signatures in tumor genomes

  • Sequencing cancer samples at presentation revealed all mutations accumulated over lifetime; these include somatic alterations generated by multiple mutational processes both before cancer initiation and during cancer development

  • We assumed that the set of estimated mutational mechanisms should be small, as de novo studies indicate that not all signatures can be active in a single sample or even a given cancer type

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Summary

Introduction

Multiple mutational processes drive carcinogenesis, leaving characteristic signatures in tumor genomes. Determining the active signatures from a full repertoire of potential ones helps elucidate mechanisms of cancer development This involves optimally decomposing the counts of cancer mutations, tabulated according to their trinucleotide context, into a linear combination of known signatures. SigLASSO has four key aspects: (1) It jointly optimizes the likelihood of sampling and signature fitting, by explicitly factoring multinomial sampling into the objective function This is important when mutation counts are low and sampling variance is high (e.g., in exome sequencing). Multiple endogenous and exogenous mutational processes drive cancer mutagenesis and leave distinct fingerprints[1]. We assumed that the set of estimated mutational mechanisms should be small, as de novo studies indicate that not all signatures can be active in a single sample or even a given cancer type. We felt the solution should be robust and the data should control the model complexity

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