Abstract

Dealing with uncertainty that is inherently present in any medical domain, is one of the major challenges when designing a medical decision support system. We demonstrate how probabilistic logic can be used to design medical knowledge bases at the example of analysing clinical brain tumor data. We use MECoRe, a system implementing probabilistic conditional logic, to create a knowledge base BT that contains medical knowledge originating from both statistical data as well as from medical experts. Any incomplete or unspecified knowledge is completed by MECoRe in an information-theoretically optimal way by employing the principle of maximum entropy. BT is evaluated with respect to a series of queries regarding diagnosis and prognosis, using a real documented patient case.

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