Using Persistent Scatterer Interferometry for Post-Earthquake Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in Jiuzhaigou

Abstract

Earthquakes cause a huge number of landslides and alter the regional landslide risk distribution. As a result, after a significant earthquake, the landslide susceptibility maps (LSMs) must be updated. The study goal was to create seismic landslide susceptibility maps containing landslide causative variables which are adaptable to great changes in susceptibility after the Jiuzhaigou earthquake (MS 7.0) and to perform a rapid update of the LSM after the earthquake by means of the distributed scatterer interferometric synthetic aperture radar (DS-InSAR) technique. We selected the territory of Jiuzhaigou County (southwestern China) as the study region. Jiuzhaigou is a world-renowned natural heritage and tourist area of great human and ecological value. For landslide susceptibility mapping, we examined the applicability of three models (logistic regression, support vector machine, and random forest) for landslide susceptibility mapping and offered a strategy for updating seismic landslide susceptibility maps using DS-InSAR. First, using logistic regression, support vector machine, and random forest techniques, susceptibility models of seismic landslides were built for Jiuzhaigou based on twelve contributing variables. Second, we obtained the best model parameters by means of a Bayesian network and network search, while using five-fold cross-validation to validate the optimized model. According to the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), the SVM model and RF model had excellent prediction capability and strong robustness over large areas compared with the LR models. Third, the surface deformation in Jiuzhaigou was calculated using DS-InSAR technology, and the deformation data were adopted to update the landslide susceptibility model using the correction matrix. The correction of deformation data resulted in a susceptibility class transition in 4.87 percent of the research region. According to practical examples, this method of correcting LSMs for the continuous monitoring of surface deformation (DS-InSAR) was effective. Finally, we analyze the reasons for the change in the revised LSM and point out the help of ecological restoration in reducing landslide susceptibility. The results show that the integration of InSAR continuous monitoring not only improved the performance of the LSM model but also adapted it to track the evolution of future landslide susceptibility, including seismic and human activities.