Using Internet Search Data to Forecast COVID-19 Trends: A Systematic Review

Abstract

Since the outbreak of the coronavirus disease pandemic (COVID-19) at the end of 2019, many scientific groups have been working towards solutions to forecast outbreaks. Accurate forecasts of future waves could mitigate the devastating effects of the virus. They would allow healthcare organizations and governments to alter public intervention, allocate healthcare resources accordingly, and raise public awareness. Many forecasting models have been introduced, harnessing different underlying mechanisms and data sources. This paper provides a systematic review of forecasting models that utilize internet search information. The success of these forecasting models provides a strong support for the big-data insight of public online search behavior as an alternative signal to the traditional surveillance system and mechanistic compartmental models.