Abstract

GIS technology has advanced rapidly in recent decades to become a standard tool for managing and analyzing spatial data to solve spatial problems. Spatial modelling is one of the GIS products that can be used as a reference for future policy development for effective spatial management. This research aims to create land use models for the Tanah Datar area of West Sumatra in 2025 and 2035. The model is created using the Cellular Automata method and remote sensing data. The land use data from 1989 and 2002 became the model's base year, and 2019 served as the basis for testing the model's accuracy. According to the modelling results, there are several trends in land use change. Dryland agriculture expanded significantly, indicating an improvement in the pattern of agricultural land use. This condition suggests that regional development should focus more on potential and good spatial management.

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