Abstract

This paper describes the process of creating uncertainty-infused synthetic profiles of building performance. The synthetic profiles are utilized as a resource for evaluating the response of trained machine learning models to unseen events. Applications of the introduced method can benefit researchers and practitioners who train data-driven building models on limited historical data and is particularly useful when a physics-based model of the building is unavailable. As an original contribution, we propose a conditional deep convolutional Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) for projecting multi-dimensional time-series profiles of building performance. The proposed GAN reflects climate and operation variations into the synthetic building performance profiles, while preserving the internal consistency within the generated data. To ensure high quality synthetic profiles, this study validates the plausibility of generated data through qualitative (visualization) and quantitative (Pearson correlation, Wasserstein distance) assessments. Synthetic profiles are fed to a trained reinforcement learning model and a rule-based controller to compare their performances in the presence of uncertainty. Results show that with limited training data, a reinforcement learning model's response can be fairly sensitive to uncertainties and disturbances, insofar, some advantages over rule-based controllers may be overestimated. To ensure the reproducibility of the presented results, this study is conducted on open data and models are shared as open source.

Highlights

  • This paper proposed the application of Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) for creating synthetic building performance data

  • Qualitative and quantitative validation of the synthetic profiles showed that the proposed GAN can properly reflect climate and operation variations into the outputs

  • The GAN slightly overrepresented some covariations with climate and operation conditions, which can be attributed to small overfitting onto the training data

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Summary

Introduction

The emergence of data-driven models has played an important role in improving the performance of building energy systems, be it at planning and design phase, throughout the operation stage, or during retrofit. Successful implementations of data-driven models are reported for a wide range of applications spanning from energy saving [1] to peak shaving [2] and display a significant impact on building performance. One challenge that impedes widespread application of datadriven models is the inadequacy of historical data for assessing a model’s response to uncertainties and disturbances [4]. While most studies of building energy analytics discuss data adequacy for training a model, few raise questions about a model’s response to unseen data, beyond the available training, validation, and test datasets. A model’s robustness to shifts in a dataset can determine its practicality for real-world applications [5]

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