Abstract
Predictive breeding approaches, like phenomic or genomic selection, have the potential to increase the selection gain for potato breeding programs which are characterized by very large numbers of entries in early stages and the availability of very few tubers per entry in these stages. The objectives of this study were to (i) explore the capabilities of phenomic prediction based on drone-derived multispectral reflectance data in potato breeding by testing different prediction scenarios on a diverse panel of tetraploid potato material from all market segments and considering a broad range of traits, (ii) compare the performance of phenomic and genomic predictions, and (iii) assess the predictive power of mixed relationship matrices utilizing weighted SNP array and multispectral reflectance data. Predictive abilities of phenomic prediction scenarios varied greatly within a range of − 0.15 and 0.88 and were strongly dependent on the environment, predicted trait, and considered prediction scenario. We observed high predictive abilities with phenomic prediction for yield (0.45), maturity (0.88), foliage development (0.73), and emergence (0.73), while all other traits achieved higher predictive ability with genomic compared to phenomic prediction. When a mixed relationship matrix was used for prediction, higher predictive abilities were observed for 20 out of 22 traits, showcasing that phenomic and genomic data contained complementary information. We see the main application of phenomic selection in potato breeding programs to allow for the use of the principle of predictive breeding in the pot seedling or single hill stage where genotyping is not recommended due to high costs.
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